Predictive Modeling Specialist.
Minneapolis.
$152,000
median salary, 5% above the national average
$116,000 to $202,000. Updated for 2026.
The numbers.
Everything you need to negotiate with confidence.
A Predictive Modeling Specialist in Minneapolis earns a median of $152,000 in 2026. That is 5% above the national average. The range runs from $116,000 to $202,000, and where you land depends on your experience, your skills, and how well you negotiate. Predictive modeling specialists earn salaries driven by the business value of their models and the complexity of domains they work in.
Salary range
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How Minneapolis compares
Minneapolis, MN
$152,000
Cost of living: 5% above average
National Average
$145,000
Minneapolis is $7,000 above
What you should know
The Predictive Modeling Specialist landscape in Minneapolis is not what most salary sites will tell you. Minneapolis is a Fortune 500 powerhouse with Target, UnitedHealth Group, Best Buy, and 3M headquartered in the metro. The city's strong corporate base creates consistent demand across finance, healthcare, retail tech, and supply chain roles. Quality of life is high, and employers offer competitive salaries to offset the cold winters. Predictive modeling specialists earn salaries driven by the business value of their models and the complexity of domains they work in. Insurance, credit risk, and demand forecasting roles pay the highest premiums. Specialists who can quantify the ROI of their models in dollar terms negotiate 10 to 20% above standard offers.
Junior predictive modelers earn $110,000 to $130,000. Mid-level specialists with domain expertise reach $145,000 to $192,000. Senior modelers and lead scientists earn $200,000 to $260,000, while chief analytics officers and VP-level roles can command $280,000 to $380,000. In Minneapolis, cost of living sits near the national average, so the numbers you see are roughly what you keep.
Base salary is not the full picture. Financial services firms offer bonuses of 20 to 35% tied to model performance and business impact. Tech companies substitute equity worth 15 to 25% of base salary. Some insurers and lenders offer model performance bonuses based on predictive accuracy improvements. And on the tax side: minnesota's top income tax rate is 9.85%, one of the highest state rates. There is no city income tax in Minneapolis, but the state burden significantly reduces take home pay. When someone quotes you $152,000, ask what the total package looks like. The gap between base and total comp is where real money hides.
On negotiation: Emphasize retention risk when negotiating. Minneapolis employers know that remote opportunities from warmer, lower tax states are a constant competitive threat. The range for Predictive Modeling Specialists in Minneapolis runs from $116,000 to $202,000. That is not a narrow window. Where you land inside it depends almost entirely on whether you negotiate and how well you prepare.
Top industries in Minneapolis
Negotiating in Minneapolis
Emphasize retention risk when negotiating. Minneapolis employers know that remote opportunities from warmer, lower tax states are a constant competitive threat.