Predictive Modeling Specialist.
Boise.
$136,000
median salary, 6% below the national average
$103,000 to $181,000. Last updated April 2026.
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Data points to own the conversation.
Here is what Predictive Modeling Specialists actually make in Boise: $103,000 at the 25th percentile, $136,000 at the median, and $181,000 at the 75th. That is 6% below the national average. Boise has emerged as one of the fastest growing tech cities in the Mountain West, driven by Micron Technology, HP, and a wave of startup relocations. The number on your offer letter will depend on what you bring and how you ask.
Salary range
Where do you fall?
Salary by experience
The gap between entry and lead level is typically $123,000. Where you land depends on years of experience and what you bring to the table.
Entry (0-2 yrs)
$88,000
to $109,000
Mid (3-5 yrs)
$116,000
to $143,000
Senior (6-9 yrs)
$150,000
to $177,000
Lead (10+ yrs)
$170,000
to $211,000
Salary trend
+4% YoYTotal compensation
Base salary is not the full picture. Equity, bonus, and signing can add $30,000 to the total package.
Base
$136,000
Equity
$16,000
Bonus
$11,000
Signing
$3,000
Estimated total: $166,000
How Boise compares
Boise, ID
$136,000
Cost of living: 5% below average
National Average
$145,000
Boise is $9,000 below
Predictive Modeling Specialist salary by city
Salary by role in Boise
What you should know
If you are interviewing for Predictive Modeling Specialist roles in Boise, here is what you are walking into. Boise has emerged as one of the fastest growing tech cities in the Mountain West, driven by Micron Technology, HP, and a wave of startup relocations. The city's quality of life and affordability have attracted significant in-migration from California and Washington. Tech salaries are rising fast as demand outpaces local talent supply. Predictive modeling specialists earn salaries driven by the business value of their models and the complexity of domains they work in. Insurance, credit risk, and demand forecasting roles pay the highest premiums. Specialists who can quantify the ROI of their models in dollar terms negotiate 10 to 20% above standard offers.
Junior predictive modelers earn $110,000 to $130,000. Mid-level specialists with domain expertise reach $145,000 to $192,000. Senior modelers and lead scientists earn $200,000 to $260,000, while chief analytics officers and VP-level roles can command $280,000 to $380,000. In Boise, cost of living sits near the national average, so the numbers you see are roughly what you keep.
Base salary is not the full picture. Financial services firms offer bonuses of 20 to 35% tied to model performance and business impact. Tech companies substitute equity worth 15 to 25% of base salary. Some insurers and lenders offer model performance bonuses based on predictive accuracy improvements. And on the tax side: idaho has a flat 5.8% state income tax. Boise has no city income tax. While higher than neighboring states, the rate is offset by affordable housing and low overall cost of living. When someone quotes you $136,000, ask what the total package looks like. The gap between base and total comp is where real money hides.
On negotiation: Reference Bay Area and Seattle talent competition. Boise employers increasingly match 80 to 90% of coastal salaries for in demand tech roles. The range for Predictive Modeling Specialists in Boise runs from $103,000 to $181,000. That is not a narrow window. Where you land inside it depends almost entirely on whether you negotiate and how well you prepare.
Sources: SEC filings, H-1B LCA (DOL), BLS OES, 50+ job posting platforms. COL: BEA Regional Price Parities (2025). Data verified by Justin Bartak, Founder & Chief AI Officer. Last verified April 8, 2026. Full methodology
Considering a related role?
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Common questions.
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