Predictive Modeling Specialist.
Sioux Falls.
$123,000
median salary, 15% below the national average
$94,000 to $163,000. Last updated April 2026.
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Data points to own the conversation.
A Predictive Modeling Specialist in Sioux Falls earns a median of $123,000 in 2026. That is 15% below the national average. The range runs from $94,000 to $163,000, and where you land depends on your experience, your skills, and how well you negotiate. Predictive modeling specialists earn salaries driven by the business value of their models and the complexity of domains they work in.
Salary range
Where do you fall?
Salary by experience
The gap between entry and lead level is typically $111,000. Where you land depends on years of experience and what you bring to the table.
Entry (0-2 yrs)
$80,000
to $98,000
Mid (3-5 yrs)
$105,000
to $129,000
Senior (6-9 yrs)
$135,000
to $160,000
Lead (10+ yrs)
$154,000
to $191,000
Salary trend
+4% YoYTotal compensation
Base salary is not the full picture. Equity, bonus, and signing can add $27,000 to the total package.
Base
$123,000
Equity
$15,000
Bonus
$10,000
Signing
$2,000
Estimated total: $150,000
How Sioux Falls compares
Sioux Falls, SD
$123,000
Cost of living: 15% below average
National Average
$145,000
Sioux Falls is $22,000 below
Predictive Modeling Specialist salary by city
Salary by role in Sioux Falls
What you should know
Here is what the Predictive Modeling Specialist market actually looks like in Sioux Falls. Sioux Falls is South Dakota's largest city and a growing financial services hub, home to major credit card operations for Citibank and Wells Fargo. The city's no state income tax and very low cost of living create exceptional take home pay ratios. Healthcare and agriculture round out the economy. Predictive modeling specialists earn salaries driven by the business value of their models and the complexity of domains they work in. Insurance, credit risk, and demand forecasting roles pay the highest premiums. Specialists who can quantify the ROI of their models in dollar terms negotiate 10 to 20% above standard offers.
Junior predictive modelers earn $110,000 to $130,000. Mid-level specialists with domain expertise reach $145,000 to $192,000. Senior modelers and lead scientists earn $200,000 to $260,000, while chief analytics officers and VP-level roles can command $280,000 to $380,000. In Sioux Falls, your dollars stretch further. Cost of living runs 15% below the national average, which means even a median salary buys a stronger lifestyle.
Base salary is not the full picture. Financial services firms offer bonuses of 20 to 35% tied to model performance and business impact. Tech companies substitute equity worth 15 to 25% of base salary. Some insurers and lenders offer model performance bonuses based on predictive accuracy improvements. And on the tax side: south Dakota has no state income tax. Sioux Falls has no city income tax. This zero income tax environment is a major draw for high earners seeking maximum take home pay. When someone quotes you $123,000, ask what the total package looks like. The gap between base and total comp is where real money hides.
On negotiation: Use the zero income tax advantage in negotiations. Sioux Falls employers know this is a major recruiting tool and will frame compensation accordingly. The range for Predictive Modeling Specialists in Sioux Falls runs from $94,000 to $163,000. That is not a narrow window. Where you land inside it depends almost entirely on whether you negotiate and how well you prepare.
Sources: SEC filings, H-1B LCA (DOL), BLS OES, 50+ job posting platforms. COL: BEA Regional Price Parities (2025). Data verified by Justin Bartak, Founder & Chief AI Officer. Last verified April 8, 2026. Full methodology
Considering a related role?
- A AI Compliance Analyst in Sioux Falls earns $124,000 (1% more)
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Common questions.
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